Elise Axelrad

Principal Analyst

Dr. Elise Axelrad is a Principal Analyst at Innovative Decisions, Incorporated. She has over 20 years of experience in modeling and simulation of human behavior, especially human judgment and signal detection. She received her Ph.D. from Duke University in Psychology, her M.A. in Applied Cognitive Science, and her B.Sc. in Mathematics and Physics from the University of Toronto. She has taught cognitive and social psychology at Worcester Polytechnic Institute and is currently on the faculty of the Executive Master in Cybersecurity Program at Brown University. Past work includes a work with Xerox PARC on DARPA’s ADAMS program to develop and validate a Bayesian network incorporating psychological variables to assess insider threat, IARPA’s SCITE program to establish inference enterprise models for evaluating systems designed to detect insider threat, a simulation study of insider attack featured in a CMOT special issue on insider threat modeling and simulation, an empirical study of factors of human judgment featured in a JBDM special issue on individual differences in decision making competence, and a dynamic simulation model of policy threshold setting.


Ph.D.   Psychology, Duke University, 1999

M.S.    Applied Cognitive Science, University of Toronto, 1993

B.Sc.   Mathematics and Physics, University of Toronto, 1989

Selected Publications and Presentations

(Prior publication names include Elise Weaver and Elise Axelrad Weaver)

Sticha, P. J., & Axelrad, E. T. (2016) Using dynamic models to support inferences of insider threat risk. Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, Special Issue on Insider Threat Modeling and Simulation, 22(3), 350-381.

Weaver, E. A., & Stewart, T.R. (2012). Dimensions of judgment: Factor analysis of individual differences. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Special Issue: Individual Differences in Decision-Making Competence, 25(4), 402–413.

Weaver, E. A., & Richardson, G. P. (2006). Threshold setting and the cycling of a decision threshold. System Dynamics Review, 22(1), 1–26.

Greitzer, F.L., Imran, M., Purl, J., Axelrad, E., Leong, Y. M., Becker, S.,  Laskey, K., Sticha, P. ( 2016) Developing an ontology for individual and organizational sociotechnical indicators of insider threat risk. Paper presented to Semantic Technology for Intelligence, Defense, and Security (STIDS), Fairfax, VA, November 15-16, 2016.

Buede, D.M., Sticha, P.J., Axelrad, E.T. (2016) Conversational non-player characters for virtual training. In: Xu, K. S., Reitter, D., Lee, D., & Osgood, N. (Eds.) (2016) Social, Cultural, and Behavioral Modeling: SBP-BRiMS 2016, Washington, DC, USA, June 28-July 1, 2016, Proceedings, Lecture Notes in Computer Science (Vol. 9708) Springer, pp. 389-399.

Sticha, P. J., Weaver, E. A., Tatman, J. A., Mahoney, S. M., & Buede, D. M. (2009, March). Reading the behavior signature: Predicting leader personality from individual and group actions. Paper presented to the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI), Spring Symposium Series, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA.

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